Wednesday, 29 December 2010

It's All Tactics And Strategy Dear Boy - Has Ed Got It Right?

I’m not certain about AV, I just don’t see the full benefits to me as a Labour Party member and activist, unlike almost every Lib-Dem member does. Because of this, I haven’t signed up to either of the two camps for the coming referendum, actually sitting on the fence.

I admit that I’m annoyed that the whole AV debate has become a victim of pork-belly politics, with new constituencies, and basically political gerrymandering, all part of the new Tory revolution to remain in power at all costs.
Similar practices were undertaken by Republicans a while ago and eventually backfired on them and I’m predicting the same for the Tories if they insist on doing it this time around.
The devil in me says that I should go for AV as the vast majority of the opposition are right wing Tories inside and out of Parliament. If the Tory right wing were to be beaten, how long would they wait before challenging David Cameron?
Would a Yes vote for AV ever prevent a Tory landslide ever happening again, like in 1983? Most probably.
Would it necessary mean that all future Parliaments are hung? Not really.
Could AV present Labour with a victory? Possibly.
What is most likely is that Labour would probably have to court the left wing of the Lib-Dems to form a government, so opposing AV for opposing sake isn’t on, as we should at least in part and principle, recognise the need for change. Hence has Ed Miliband seen the light and is this the reason why he is in favour of AV. Me thinks so and in doing will build bridges between groupings within both parties for the future, tactics and strategy dear boy, tactics and strategy.
All that needs to happen is to convince the electorate either way before May’s referendum.

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